Inflation cools but mortgage rates remain elevated

Share

Cooling inflation does not automatically create an easy mortgage market. Borrowing costs can remain elevated even when headline inflation improves, especially if lenders and central banks remain cautious.

For buyers, the issue is monthly affordability. A property may look better priced than before, but the cost of debt can still limit purchasing power. This keeps pressure on transactions and forces greater discipline around deposits, income multiples and stress testing.

For developers, slower buyer demand can increase sales risk. Projects aimed at owner-occupiers may need longer absorption assumptions or sharper pricing.

The rental market often absorbs this pressure. When buying becomes harder, renting remains the fallback, strengthening demand for well-located rental homes.

The market is therefore not simply recovering or weakening. It is adjusting to a new cost-of-money environment where affordability must be tested through finance, not just price.